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http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/circulars/production.pdf

The link is to a recent paper by the USDA. Initial part is all doom and gloom, but if you go to the final table the amount of change to the world wheat production will be down about 2%. Not enough to actually fuck with anything. Transport & Trade may fuck with things, but this is all a wall street psyop and I fell for it.