JoChau 1. This is a complicated but interesting situation. There was no massacre or real violence. It seems to me a deal/agreement was obtained before the HTS took action. 2. The backer of al-Sham is the winner for the time being. 3. Russia took a backstep in return for a desirable settlement on Ukraine? 4. Assad should probably be relocated to either Russia or Iran and live as a private citizen. Maybe he can practice ophthalmology again. 5. Russia would need to keep her naval base in the area for her interest. 6. US/Isarel is also a winner. Iran is weakened. 7. Erdogan is a big winner, maybe he'll sing again. He did last time after he won re-election. 8. This has been a pretty peaceful BIG EVENT mostly b/c US/ISRAEL was able to do targeted elimination of important leaders of opposition. 9. Chinese's ranking in this area is automatically reduced. Chinese foreign policy makers need to be more sensitive & astute. 10. DPK's Kim is watching this. He will not end up like Bashar Assad.
Because holding the Capital of any Nation is a morale breaker for the citizenry and a boost to any attacker.
Plus, there are no weapons for an insurgency.
The rebels have them all.
The Syrian army left and ran from entire depots leaving everything untouched for them, or simply abandoned vehicles and personal arms. Complete rout.
Assad also lost all his main tribal support who all flipped overnight on him.
His best troops/ units/ special forces and bulk of experienced militias had all be moved way down south over summer to patrol empty desert and watch gaza from the sidelines.
dassar 1 points 5 months ago
Because holding the Capital of any Nation is a morale breaker for the citizenry and a boost to any attacker.
Plus, there are no weapons for an insurgency.
The rebels have them all.
The Syrian army left and ran from entire depots leaving everything untouched for them, or simply abandoned vehicles and personal arms. Complete rout.
Assad also lost all his main tribal support who all flipped overnight on him.
His best troops/ units/ special forces and bulk of experienced militias had all be moved way down south over summer to patrol empty desert and watch gaza from the sidelines.
They will all be disarmed or eliminated.
Game set match.