The weather report is usually bullshit and lies. You telling me that they can land a fucking remote controlled robot on Mars and drive that bitch around, but they can't accurately tell me if it's going to rain tomorrow? I personally think it's just part of the constant cycle of doubt and anxiety that is pushed on us.
I don’t know what the BOM is, but here in the US, northern Ca to be exact, they are all fucked up as well. Imagine a bunch of dicks who can’t tell the weather two days out, telling you about a global warming thing twenty years out.
I had a grandgrandpa, who walked through the woods every sunday for some hours, then tell what works should be done on what days, cause he knew when it's gonna rain or not, 4-5 days ahead. Everyone listened to him, but he never passed the knowledge.
Sydney BOM has been terrible as well. Normally it is saying it is going to be raining but it turns out sunny. I am starting to think they want people to stay home and not get fresh air and sun. Also part of the reason I think Sydney came out of lockdown quicker than Melbourne.
[ - ] Had 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 14:45:50 ago (+1/-0)
My guess is that it is likely related to the increase in solar activity. Sun spots, CMEs, solar winds, etc. cause MASSIVE changes to our weather. It isn't accounted for by our weather people for whatever reason. They can see that fronts are moving in a general direction, but they don't understand what causes them to change or shift "unexpectedly".
We have the same problem here - all weather reports come from the National Weather Service, and then are repackaged by every weather program out there as if they made an original prediction (with the sole exception of Weather Underground [hence the name] for a while, but no longer).
The largest problem is that weather predictions used to be a form of divining, which can be extremely accurate, depending on the diviner (the 'my big toe hurts; heavy rain tomorrow' guys). Even though this is still how it is done in some very backwoods regions, all commercial weather predictions use statistical analysis, which is useless (for stocks and everything else too), mainly because nobody actually knows how weather works.
Actually, most of old farming was basically divining (originally, weather reports were for farmers). You'd dowse for well locations, plant your crops according to a horoscope/moon phases, etc. The first Farmer's Almanacs that I saw as a kid would have been right at home in a psychic's shop lol.
There is so much more to this, mainly the 'we don't know how weather works' bit. 5 years ago I was working on a series on 'physical redpills' for Voat, though I never finished it because I can never finish anything. The second unfinished part is relevant, on nobody knows why clouds float. https://files.catbox.moe/w3zyan.png
Weather.gov (US) is accurate in my area for 3-5 days out.
East coast here - they can't even get the next 12 hours right. From what I have studied, there has been no improvement on average prediction accuracy, which is why the probabilistic models have replaced the deterministic models of the 90s etc. The switch required the ability to process large amounts of historical weather data, which only recently became possible - you can roughly tell whether you are seeing post or pre changeover weather footage by whether or not you see percentages.
Divination has worked for our ancestors for centuries. Reminder that divining just refers to things we had no explanation of - the compass was considered such for centuries, until we got an understanding of electromagnetism in the 1800s.
[ - ] UncleDoug 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 08:05:19 ago (+1/-0)
The father of a mate of mine used to work for the BOM, when they sent out reports the "news" would just do whatever with it. Basically flipping a coin as opposed to actually reading the data.
It's less of a BOM issue and more of a modern day news issue IMO.
Also get yourself a barometer, I picked up a Shatz one years ago, it's extremely accurate.
Im looking directly at the BOM. For the reasons you have mentioned. We keep talking about getting some weather gear when I get around to building a new shed we were supposed to start this year but didn't because of REASONS.
Barometer (BAR air pressure) and Hygrometer (Humidity) combo and it will be 1000x more accurate than what is presented by the weather girl at 6pm.
You can get marine-grade gear at places like ship chandeliers, perhaps nauticalia, Dennings and the such are still operating.
Honestly stuff like that is more important to a sailor than the gay GPS which can throw you wildly off everytime America decides to invade another country.
Don't forget they are forecasting for very large areas. That 70% chance of rain means it might be raining on one side of the major city or state, but nothing happens on another side.
I've definitely noticed the same in NZ. Of course met service has always been bad, but it seems don't even bother looking out of their window recently.
[ - ] Cunt 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 07:13:15 ago (+1/-1)
They have sucked for ages but last few weeks have been pretty bad. They don't account for chemtrail weather modding.
A full sky coverage of chemtrails means it will rain in three days.
We had a mega storm the day after a big chemtrail spray recently though and threw me off so maybe they have a new more intense chemtrail mix. I don't remember the sky three days before the Strom though so I might still be right lol.
Im a little sus about the whole chemtrail thing. Specially where I live its windy most of the year. It wouldnt sit. I also watch a lot of hte radar action and determine weather patterns myself and you would need a shit tonne of air craft to effect stuff like an entire oceans worth of movement.
[ - ] Cunt 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 23:48:51 ago (+0/-0)
Occasionally there are two going at once but (especially since 2020) there is normally only one plane going back and forth. They will sometimes turn it off and on again. They appear to be very large planes flying higher than normal passenger planes. For instance I have seen (and have photos on a hard drive with issues) A Qantas plane and a chemtrail plane seemingly the same size /height in the sky, the Qantas plane had no contrail or chemtrail but the other one had a very long trail that slowly spread (instead of quickly dissipating like contrails).
When I zoomed in with my camera the Qantas plane was clear with details visible. The chemtrail plane became equally large but was hazy like when I have zoomed in on a ship very far off on the horizon, but even more so. There was no extra detail visible from zooming.
I don't know about radar as I don't look at it unless I know rain is coming and I use the live one on the BOM app.
Just start watching the sky and see if you notice planes going back and forth or how Qantas planes have short dissipating contrails and unmarked planes often have long, lingering, slowly spreading into haze trails.
Officially the term Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (sometimes Spraying instead of injection) if you want to dig.
Chemtrails are spreading faster than they used to. But the difference is contrails are short and dissipate, chemtrails are long (or turn on and off) and dissipate.
[ + ] PeckerwoodPerry
[ - ] PeckerwoodPerry 6 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 07:26:37 ago (+7/-1)
[ + ] Deleted
[ - ] deleted 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 09:56:27 ago (+2/-1)
[ + ] PeckerwoodPerry
[ - ] PeckerwoodPerry 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 10:23:56 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] baad73e
[ - ] baad73e 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 15:45:43 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] PeckerwoodPerry
[ - ] PeckerwoodPerry 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 16, 2021 13:17:50 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] baad73e
[ - ] baad73e 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 16, 2021 13:47:44 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] 1Icemonkey
[ - ] 1Icemonkey 6 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 07:07:43 ago (+6/-0)
[ + ] SilentByAssociation
[ - ] SilentByAssociation 3 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 08:01:24 ago (+3/-0)
[ + ] albatrosv15
[ - ] albatrosv15 2 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 15:14:12 ago (+2/-0)
[ + ] AnmanIndustries
[ - ] AnmanIndustries [op] 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 19:11:10 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] spirit1977
[ - ] spirit1977 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 17:22:18 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] Had
[ - ] Had 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 14:45:50 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] aleleopathic
[ - ] aleleopathic 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 09:31:18 ago (+1/-0)
The largest problem is that weather predictions used to be a form of divining, which can be extremely accurate, depending on the diviner (the 'my big toe hurts; heavy rain tomorrow' guys). Even though this is still how it is done in some very backwoods regions, all commercial weather predictions use statistical analysis, which is useless (for stocks and everything else too), mainly because nobody actually knows how weather works.
Actually, most of old farming was basically divining (originally, weather reports were for farmers). You'd dowse for well locations, plant your crops according to a horoscope/moon phases, etc. The first Farmer's Almanacs that I saw as a kid would have been right at home in a psychic's shop lol.
There is so much more to this, mainly the 'we don't know how weather works' bit. 5 years ago I was working on a series on 'physical redpills' for Voat, though I never finished it because I can never finish anything. The second unfinished part is relevant, on nobody knows why clouds float. https://files.catbox.moe/w3zyan.png
[ + ] chrimony
[ - ] chrimony 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 11:04:33 ago (+0/-0)
Weather.gov (US) is accurate in my area for 3-5 days out. Decades ago the weather was good for only about a day out. Divining is bullshit.
[ + ] aleleopathic
[ - ] aleleopathic 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 12:41:20 ago (+0/-0)
East coast here - they can't even get the next 12 hours right. From what I have studied, there has been no improvement on average prediction accuracy, which is why the probabilistic models have replaced the deterministic models of the 90s etc. The switch required the ability to process large amounts of historical weather data, which only recently became possible - you can roughly tell whether you are seeing post or pre changeover weather footage by whether or not you see percentages.
Divination has worked for our ancestors for centuries. Reminder that divining just refers to things we had no explanation of - the compass was considered such for centuries, until we got an understanding of electromagnetism in the 1800s.
[ + ] Deleted
[ - ] deleted 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 09:14:14 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] AnmanIndustries
[ - ] AnmanIndustries [op] 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 19:12:14 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] UncleDoug
[ - ] UncleDoug 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 08:05:19 ago (+1/-0)
It's less of a BOM issue and more of a modern day news issue IMO.
Also get yourself a barometer, I picked up a Shatz one years ago, it's extremely accurate.
[ + ] AnmanIndustries
[ - ] AnmanIndustries [op] 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 19:08:19 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] UncleDoug
[ - ] UncleDoug 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 19:14:38 ago (+0/-0)
You can get marine-grade gear at places like ship chandeliers, perhaps nauticalia, Dennings and the such are still operating.
Honestly stuff like that is more important to a sailor than the gay GPS which can throw you wildly off everytime America decides to invade another country.
[ + ] AngryWhiteKeyboardWarrior
[ - ] AngryWhiteKeyboardWarrior 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 16, 2021 06:21:32 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] KeepPoal4fags
[ - ] KeepPoal4fags 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 14:56:32 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] Cunt
[ - ] Cunt 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 07:13:15 ago (+1/-1)
A full sky coverage of chemtrails means it will rain in three days.
We had a mega storm the day after a big chemtrail spray recently though and threw me off so maybe they have a new more intense chemtrail mix. I don't remember the sky three days before the Strom though so I might still be right lol.
[ + ] AnmanIndustries
[ - ] AnmanIndustries [op] 1 point 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 19:09:59 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] Cunt
[ - ] Cunt 0 points 3.5 yearsNov 15, 2021 23:48:51 ago (+0/-0)
When I zoomed in with my camera the Qantas plane was clear with details visible. The chemtrail plane became equally large but was hazy like when I have zoomed in on a ship very far off on the horizon, but even more so. There was no extra detail visible from zooming.
I don't know about radar as I don't look at it unless I know rain is coming and I use the live one on the BOM app.
Just start watching the sky and see if you notice planes going back and forth or how Qantas planes have short dissipating contrails and unmarked planes often have long, lingering, slowly spreading into haze trails.
Officially the term Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (sometimes Spraying instead of injection) if you want to dig.
Chemtrails are spreading faster than they used to. But the difference is contrails are short and dissipate, chemtrails are long (or turn on and off) and dissipate.