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Financial news sites have predicted 32 of the last 3 recessions. They predict them so much they eventually have a prediction that in hindsight looks true, then they spend the next decade banking on how their latest prediction must be true because 1 of their last 47 hit close to an actual event.

If I predicted "Sunny" days every DAY,I'd get a few right.

Same thought process.

Pretty sure it's here