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The pullback from foreign funding signals essentially changing to a defensive posture. This is bolstered by the u.s. and west wanting ukraine as a platform for NATO missiles.

Essentially they wanted to turn ukraine into a missile shield, and there it is, the defensive posture.
The fact that this was plan a decade in the making indicates this is the long term strategy and intention.

Defensive posture means a break from MAD, which suggests the u.s. has had long term plans all along to strike russia, and are merely working out their options to do so while minimizing our own losses.

Read it again, and you'll realize it is both obvious on its face, and clearly the fact at hand.

Missile shields by their nature, because they break MAD, also lead to escalation. (as long as everyone can destroy anyone and can't guarantee that they can prevent retaliation, then everyone avoids escalating).

In short, the establishment of a missile shield would inescapably lead to the conclusion by both u.s. and russian leadership,
to launch defensive nukes preemptively, and because russia's policy is now escalation-into-descalation (whatever the fuck that gobblydegook logic means), the political and military calculus means the establishment of a missile shield guarantees nuclear war.

And because the u.s. cannot survive economically without taking down china eventually, and we can't take down china without either repudiating our debt, or saving the dollar, and we can't save the dollar without taking down BRICs, and we can't take down BRICs without beating russia, we therefore will be forced to eventually double down, along with the rest of western nations, in ukraine.

We are, as the kids say, cooked.

If you don't accept this as the hard truth, read it again and again until you do, because it is deeply-unfortunate that I am regrettably not wrong about this.

I didn't set out to write a self-fulfilling prophecy today, and yet that is apparently what the analysis bears out.

The only events which would stop this is a cataclysm, like world electronic infrastructure going down, an event so large that the political and economic turmoil and public chaos would keep every nation's respective militaries up to their eyeballs in shit trying to cling to the thinnest veneer of domestic order.

I guess I'll have to complete the cryptography project after all. Otherwise we're all fucked.