The war is a sophisticated joint operation between russia and ukraine to bankrupt the u.s. and the european union. This makes sense in light of everything we know, and all the outcomes we've seen unfold.
Zelinsky is a double agent.
"Dirty shirt" theory only works if russia loses, restrengthening the u.s. dollar, and splintering brics. The headwind thats been building into a financial disaster thats so far been narrowly avoided, rushes home, everywhere, all across the globe, leaving the dollar as the last refuge.
This trigger the rest of the world to assume the theory is in play at all, leading to a self-fulfilling scenario.
This will trigger a war between u.s. and china, as china sees its last chance at supplanting the u.s. (or ushering in a multipolar world) vanishing.
China (or the u.s. and china, assuming we are tied at the hip, and theres no reason not to assume that), will use this (limited, or 'fake' war) to solicit aid from russia, attempting to break whats left of russian logistics and russia's economy.
Russia in turn will refuse to provide the necessary aid to china, who they have ostensibly been covertly allied with for some time, thus upsetting the apple cart by changing the outcome of the war in favor of the u.s. This is necessary for a multipolar world, because even if the u.s. loses hegemony, that leaves russia to contend with chinese world ambitions. A scenario where the u.s. loses, leaves the world in a much more precarious position so long as the CCP still exists, as far as russian thinking goes.
Meanwhile, because of the global liquidity retreat to the u.s., the euro will crash, and nations will pull out of it.
If russia capitulates in the ukraine war, the model works and the rest of what I wrote is likely to also be correct as a result.
Russia calling off the world, or negotiating, would also drive a wedge between BRICs and britain, namely india, because india already displayed their disloyalty to the global regime/british/u.s. softpower when they helped russia circumnavigate SWIFT sanctions (as I predicted before).
The u.s., having satisfied it's appetite for war (wrt to defense contractors, public sentiment, etc), wouldn't need one with all
the additional liquidity in play driving up asset prices, and wouldn't rush to a new war either, thus weakening taiwan's leverage
in any potential conflict with china.
China would be forced either by the opportunity itself, or by the shrinking window thereof, to initiate war because of it instead of losing its last card at distracting and pacifying its population indirectly.
The attack would likely come from north korea, a proxy of the CCP, in order to provoke the u.s. into an invasion, thus making us look like the aggressor when china responds by taking taiwan and cutting off the u.s. navy.
Owing to these factors and potential outcomes, if we can say that u.s. hegemony gives way to a multipolar global financial environment under the condition that russia wins--and that this same outcome happens even if russia DOESNT win, then we can conclude this outcome is inevitable.
The question then becomes not if, but when.
Thats all for now.
[ + ] Centaurus
[ - ] Centaurus 1 point 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 20:21:50 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 1 point 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 20:28:21 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] Centaurus
[ - ] Centaurus 0 points 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 20:57:17 ago (+0/-0)
― Daisaku Ikeda
[ + ] La_Chalupacabra
[ - ] La_Chalupacabra 1 point 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 20:31:43 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 20:35:16 ago (+0/-0)
I think thats a very good bet Cotton!
Their advisors are smart enough though, just smart enough to know (usually) when the regimes in the west accuse their opposition of something, the west is just projecting its own problems.
Says to me the advisors are scared to speak up, or the leadership doesn't listen anyway.
Which means the leadership is stupid (which doesn't mean they aren't cunning), or the leadership exists to manage an intentional decline.
Which do you think it is and why?
[ + ] La_Chalupacabra
[ - ] La_Chalupacabra 1 point 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 21:03:03 ago (+1/-0)
China plays into it, somewhat, but Russia, for whatever reason it may have, seems to be playing a different game -- or at least playing by a different set of rules.
Doubtless, they are operating off information that would be unavailable to common citizens of the West like us, but they must know something that changes the game as it's been played that works to their favor (or, perhaps, can no longer afford to stand by as whatever it is unfolds.)
My personal feeling is that the US and its allies are about to face a Gorbachev moment when the gig is up and they are wrestling for internal control as they prepare to announce that the Great Soviet Experiment has come to its end; they're completely broke.
This would explain why all the expert advisors/puppetmasters are no longer doing what they can to keep the machine limping along: they're running for the hills before the lights go out and the cities' contents explode into the surroundings as food and resources there evaporate.
This leaves the clowns grasping at straws to hold things together at the seams (see the abysmal response to the East Palestine incident.)
China will have its hands full trying to keep things together, probably trying to impose some kind of SE Asian "coalition" just to feed their people and keep the region from destabilizing and becoming prime pickings for expeditionary
warpeacemaking.I guess the tl;dr would be something like, "Russia went through what we are going through and recognize we're on track to where they were around the late '70's to late 80's and that it's going to get bad with the last of the original superpowers on its deathbed when it finally croaks."
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 2.2 yearsFeb 20, 2023 21:28:09 ago (+0/-0)
Which is right in line with my prediction that western-lead neoliberalism has about 13 years left in its tank.
I think the prediction that they'd rather destroy the world, than lose control (which is what would happen with the current configuration), is probably correct. It jives with the doom premonitions that so many people have, but even though those are as common as the sun rising, it does make sense.
The geriatric generations have a certain "come to jesus" sentiment, born from the cold war attitude of "we're all gonna die in nuclear war anyway!", they hate the younger generations for good reason, and all they face in the future is further aging, social decay, suburban boredom, and political mailaise to compliment their declining real property values (who wants to spend 500k on a plywood shack that would have cost 30k in 1971?)
And so I think theres an element, not just in the general population, but even in the elite, the bureaucratic class, of "something to remember us by", that sort of psychology.
Because of this, if I'm no fool, and I'm not, then the russians aren't either, and what I see them doing is saying "well the u.s. is gonna collapse anyway, we just gotta keep this war going at some minimal sustainable level." and so they will, or they'll end the war, because the end of the u.s. is practically foretold.
What that looks like is anyones guess, but the prognostications that the u.s. is "too big to govern" are probably also the elite-of-the-elite's sentiment, in the same vein as the thinking about the soviet union. Which makes talk of balkanization prescient-- with Multkult being the de jure mid-level excuse or middleman reasoning for the breakup of empire, which also explains the last couple of years discussing that very meme "rome broke up because of too many competing ethnicities/cultures" when the truth is even if we were a monolith, we would have experienced breakup, because as armed as we are, with our culture of individualism, the game is unwinnable for high level players, so they'll just reset the borders on the board so to speak.
Same will happen to china if they aren't careful.
Good post, made me think a lot. Thanks LC.