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If the Russian's believe the u.s. or u.k. are going to frame them, then the Russians have every reason to act first in any given scenario. And if the risk of that occuring increases over time, then the Russians have every reason to target leadership. They've intentionally minimized civilian casualties where possible, and have shown a willingness to only match escalations. Going on that playbook, it makes sense that if a u.s. asset were the most likely to attempt it, knowing zelensky would be blamed (functionally it makes no difference anyway), then it makes sense zelensky would flee ukraine.
That could also mean that the assumption the ukraine war is "winding down" based on him fleeing, is less likely.
So they're expecting heavier bombing from russia, either in anticipation of russia acting before the spring offensive can gain momentum, or as retaliation for something ukraine is planning to do. Owing to that, Putin would have to respond to an assassination attempt, so as to discourage any further attempts. This may be the west using zelensky as bait.

In light of that what it looks like is both sides trying to avoid direct escalation (avoiding getting into a war with one another) while all sides have a reason to participate. Weirdly I get the impression that what the u.s. is somehow attempting to do is drag the u.k. into the war, while itself avoiding direct confrontation/escalation. Which would make sense if china, tied at the hip with, (and calling some of the shots for), the u.s, were using these actions to push russia into china's sphere of influence further and further. Which only makes sense if they don't provoke a total war between the u.s. and russia directly. This comports with the notion that the real reason for the fed interest rate hikes is to sacrifice the ECB and eurodollar and weaken london banks in favor of a yuan-lead BRICs.

In otherwords, the u.s., china, and russia are colluding, not because they have the same goals, but because their own mutually exclusive interests are all served by the same decision to go to war--while sacrificing the british and western europe sphere of influence militarily and financially.