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A border flare up between either pakistan and india, or india and china (1-in-6 chance)

Another mass murder event by a transgender, 1-in-2.5

A riot by the right in the u.s. over parent rights, 1-in-4.

New far reaching environmental-regulation announcements, 1-in-3

A significant escalation between nato, and russia, even surpassing existing escalations. Russia explicitly calls out and denounces either the u.s, israel, or britain, 1-in-2

Another jordan-neely type event, 1-in-1.5

Another .25 basis point rise in interest rates, 1-in-2.5

$4/gal gas nationwide in the u.s. by mid summer. 1-in-2

More riots against the u.s. supreme court, 1-in-2

Further attacks on pro-life centers, 1-in-3

Further arrests of people even more tenuously connected to J6, range in the dozens to the low hundreds. 1-in-4

Kevin McCarthy fails to release any meaningful J6 video on-the-whole, called a "big nothingburger, confirming what we already knew, that J6 was an insurrection!" by the media. Alternatively, or in addition, hammed up by the GOP, to little ultimate affect. 1-in-2
Another J6 member dies in custody, 1-in-3.

Thats all for now.