Betting markets haven't been right at all this cycle. Lot of people lost money betting on Shapiro and others being the Kamala VP pick. Literally no one bet on Walz.
Real Clear Politics has Trump at 302-236 on the electoral college vote, using numerous but major state polls, individually. The question will soon be, "Can Kamala outperform Mondale?"
In top secret news: the Russian AI algos favor the mighty Kamala at a 59% chance of victory.
One of the positives of my situation is I haven't had to hear this fat fraud in my head. But again, it was his administration, and specifically John Bolton as national security adviser, that made the not so bright move to prioritize monitoring-disrupting me after Christchurch.
[ + ] Spaceman84
[ - ] Spaceman84 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 19:13:01 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] Joe_McCarthy
[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 8 monthsOct 12, 2024 19:04:15 ago (+0/-0)
Some discussion on the accuracy of betting markets:
https://www.newsweek.com/election-betting-odds-accurate-prediction-us-presidential-election-1964752
Trump is down to 53.7% in the RCP average today by the way. A slight decrease.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
[ + ] Joe_McCarthy
[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 8 monthsOct 13, 2024 16:45:24 ago (+0/-0)
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
[ + ] PORTforceOne
[ - ] PORTforceOne 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 16:50:37 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] PostWallHelena
[ - ] PostWallHelena 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 14:27:22 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] FreeinTX
[ - ] FreeinTX 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 16:10:31 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] Joe_McCarthy
[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 13:50:36 ago (+0/-0)
https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-national-polls-swing-states-1967475
In top secret news: the Russian AI algos favor the mighty Kamala at a 59% chance of victory.
One of the positives of my situation is I haven't had to hear this fat fraud in my head. But again, it was his administration, and specifically John Bolton as national security adviser, that made the not so bright move to prioritize monitoring-disrupting me after Christchurch.