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[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 13:50:36 ago (+0/-0)

19 States Have Shifted to Donald Trump in Past Week—Nate Silver Model

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-national-polls-swing-states-1967475

In top secret news: the Russian AI algos favor the mighty Kamala at a 59% chance of victory.

One of the positives of my situation is I haven't had to hear this fat fraud in my head. But again, it was his administration, and specifically John Bolton as national security adviser, that made the not so bright move to prioritize monitoring-disrupting me after Christchurch.

[ - ] PostWallHelena 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 14:27:22 ago (+0/-0)

The betting markets can easily be hacked. I would not give them high credence.

[ - ] FreeinTX 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 16:10:31 ago (+0/-0)

Real Clear Politics has Trump at 302-236 on the electoral college vote, using numerous but major state polls, individually. The question will soon be, "Can Kamala outperform Mondale?"

[ - ] PORTforceOne 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 16:50:37 ago (+0/-0)

Jews 100% chance of winning

[ - ] Spaceman84 0 points 8 monthsOct 11, 2024 19:13:01 ago (+0/-0)

Betting markets haven't been right at all this cycle. Lot of people lost money betting on Shapiro and others being the Kamala VP pick. Literally no one bet on Walz.

[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 8 monthsOct 12, 2024 19:04:15 ago (+0/-0)

From what I've seen betting markets are probably more accurate than polls.

Some discussion on the accuracy of betting markets:

https://www.newsweek.com/election-betting-odds-accurate-prediction-us-presidential-election-1964752

Trump is down to 53.7% in the RCP average today by the way. A slight decrease.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 8 monthsOct 13, 2024 16:45:24 ago (+0/-0)