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When it's just hunches, once in a blue moon.

The posts with reasoning explaining the thinking tend to have a better probability.


Outside circumstances have a way of delaying things.

Probably.

I could see mossad or another intelligence agency doing this.

Competitors to saudi arabia, be they israeli, or even another muslim country, might be displeased with the current talks and look to disrupt u.s. relations by staging something because they see the talks as a threat to their own position in the middle east.