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MaryXmas
Member for: 3.7 years

scp: 2528 (+2901/-373)
ccp: 3483 (+3768/-285)
votes given: 50118 (+44920/-5198)
score: 6011





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Owner of:
ShitBoomersSay, Finance, Dads, DebtFree, WetShaving, ShitGenZSays, QuitDrinking, Intentions,
Mod of:
Fatherhood,
4
Nerds - what is the potential impact of DeepSeek on the AI market?     (technology)

submitted by MaryXmas to technology 3 months ago

6 comments

We have a true open source LLM with o1 performance (or better?). Trained on 671B params with reinforcement learning. Cost per million tokens is ~$2, compared to ~$60 from OpenAI. Mixture-of-experts MOE architecture (similar to model orchestration?).

I still need to read the white paper but what should I be looking for with this? LLM deployment/dev becomes super cheap, all the major US companies need to cut prices to compete, people can run a much improved LLM on their home PC, I really just see this as cutting costs, increasing competition and a good thing for people, despite the losses for corporate America tech(currently in a tail-spin). Security is a massive concern being it is a Chinese product so we will need to make a more secure version that can be trusted. Also, the compute power would be largely distributed meaning infrastructure strain would be significantly less than an enterprise focused ecosystem.

Trying to get my head around this, any ideas? Boomers, no one gives a shit about how you are retired and hate new technology, we know.
11
MrPim (FantasticMrPim)     (MissingGoats)

submitted by MaryXmas to MissingGoats 3 months ago

4 comments

Back around 2016/2017, this asshole said he wouldn't remember me and our conversation would fall into obscurity. Being the vindictive person I am, I made it a point to say hi every time I saw his user name. Maybe he finally blocked me but I enjoyed his company. He lived not too far away from my home town. I think he was living with family and having a rough go of it. Hope he is doing ok.
3
Love240?     (MissingGoats)

submitted by MaryXmas to MissingGoats 3 months ago

5 comments

Is that guy still around or did I block him?
22
Got some new Legos that I can play with in my hot tub.      (boingboing.net)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 3 months ago

8 comments

9
My kids are playing cops and robbers.      (Fatherhood)

submitted by MaryXmas to Fatherhood 3 months ago

7 comments

Is it appropriating black culture if one kid is a robber?
31
My kid has been really into puzzles lately.      (Fatherhood)

submitted by MaryXmas to Fatherhood 3 months ago

43 comments

It has actually been pretty great. We hit up the dollar store and got a bunch of them. We did a 100 piece together and he was contributing much more than I was expecting. It says 7+ and he is still 4. He can rip through the 24 piece puzzles in 5 minutes.

The next excursion is likely to be some second hand legos-by-the-pound I picked up a while back. I was pretty happy to find that.
9
Europeans to Feather Niggers: "we stole your land".     (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 3 months ago

5 comments

Niggers, spics and wetbacks: "we stole your land".

Unpopular opinion but if you wanted to populate a country and take it over they are doing it the right way. Too bad America won't be around for much longer.
15
When do you think the LA tunnels will start showing up?     (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 3 months ago

7 comments

4
I'm a good man. I give a out 50% of my money to charity.      (Jokes)

submitted by MaryXmas to Jokes 3 months ago

3 comments

...But when she's not working I give it to Rachel.
10
Thanks for all your feedback regarding my pink shirt.      (c.tenor.com)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 3 months ago

7 comments

7
Is wearing a pink shirt gay?     (AskUpgoat)

submitted by MaryXmas to AskUpgoat 3 months ago

11 comments

All my swastika shirts are in the wash.
10
What does an eagle feather taste like?      (Fatherhood)

submitted by MaryXmas to Fatherhood 3 months ago

20 comments

This was a question by my 4 year old. He has exotic tastes already. Update: he is no longer identifying as a crab or robot.
17
13 MM BOLT     (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 3 months ago

7 comments

FUCK YOU
13
I'd be ok if the site closed.      (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 3 months ago

53 comments

I need to touch more grass anyhow, or frozen dirt --whatever.
Also, if this is a place for free speech and can't grow, maybe that means that people don't want free speech. And if that's the case, the people do not deserve it.
18
Target is terrible.      (Rants)

submitted by MaryXmas to Rants 4 months ago

39 comments

I have probably 100 in gift cards for Target and I can't find a single useful thing. They are certainly woke and the website is repulsive but their products are absolute garbage too. My wife couldn't find anything so she gave the gift cards to me. 45 dollars for 16 black socks? Is that what the world has come to?
23
Doxxing iSnark     (external-content.duckduckgo.com)

submitted by MaryXmas to ShitpostLitterBox 4 months ago

7 comments

0
The smell of Christmas since 2006.      (i5.walmartimages.com)

submitted by MaryXmas to Fragrances 4 months ago

0 comments

My fav. Just don't tell big guy.
44
Suicide rates rise right after Christmas and New Years. If you need to hear this, go talk to someone, anyone.      (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 4 months ago

45 comments

People here will talk, I will talk too. PM me if you are having a rough week and want to bitch about the jews for a while. Your life has value.
3
Gettin shit done.      (youtube.com)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 4 months ago

3 comments

4
The book of Barnabas - Voat's new favorite book.      (Christianity)

submitted by MaryXmas to Christianity 4 months ago

6 comments

It didn't make it into the Bible but was an ancient Christian text highly critical of jews.
9
The guys in my local car repair shop were complaining about dishonest customers.      (cars)

submitted by MaryXmas to cars 4 months ago

34 comments

Then they quoted me outrageous prices for repairs I didn't need.
1
Tell me about drum and bass.      (m.youtube.com)

submitted by MaryXmas to music 4 months ago

2 comments

Any favorites?
3
A Study of History by Arnold J. Toynbee     (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 4 months ago

1 comments

Arnold J. Toynbee’s A Study of History is a monumental work in the philosophy of history, consisting of twelve volumes published between 1934 and 1961. The abridged versions by D.C. Somervell summarize its sprawling narrative, but the original covers the rise, flourishing, and decline of civilizations, focusing on patterns and laws that govern human societies over time. Toynbee’s central thesis argues that civilizations grow and collapse based on their responses to challenges and that their vitality is determined by their capacity for creativity and adaptability. Below is a detailed breakdown of the book’s key concepts, themes, and arguments.


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I. The Methodology of Historical Study

Toynbee begins by challenging the Eurocentric and linear historical paradigms common in his time. Rather than viewing history as a chronological sequence centered on Western achievements, he adopts a comparative method, analyzing civilizations as independent but interrelated units. His approach is systematic: civilizations are studied like biological organisms, focusing on their life cycles—birth, growth, breakdown, and disintegration.

Key features of Toynbee’s methodology include:

1. Civilizational Units: Toynbee identifies 21 major civilizations (e.g., Egyptian, Hellenic, Western) and several “abortive” ones (e.g., Polynesian and Eskimo cultures).


2. Challenge-and-Response Theory: He argues that civilizations rise by responding effectively to challenges, whether environmental, social, or external threats. Failure to adapt leads to stagnation or decline.


3. Rejection of Racial and Environmental Determinism: Unlike some contemporaries, Toynbee does not attribute the success of civilizations to racial superiority or geographic advantages alone. Instead, he emphasizes creativity and spiritual vitality.




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II. The Rise of Civilizations

The genesis of civilizations, Toynbee asserts, depends on their response to adversity. Societies are spurred into growth when confronted with “golden mean” challenges—neither overwhelming nor trivial. For example:

The Mesopotamian Civilization arose by organizing irrigation systems to counter unpredictable river flooding.

The Hellenic Civilization thrived due to the rugged geography of Greece, which fostered independent city-states, maritime trade, and intellectual exchange.


Civilizations evolve through a creative minority—visionary leaders or elites who inspire others to transcend crises. Examples include the leadership of Moses in the Judaic tradition or Pericles in Athens.


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III. The Growth of Civilizations

Toynbee identifies growth as a dynamic process marked by cultural and intellectual innovation. A civilization progresses when its creative minority leads the majority by example, forming a harmonious societal structure. This phase includes:

Cultural Flourishing: The production of art, philosophy, and science that defines a civilization’s identity (e.g., the Renaissance in Western Europe).

Spiritual Growth: Toynbee emphasizes the role of religion and spirituality as a unifying force. For instance, the spread of Buddhism in India and Confucianism in China provided moral frameworks that stabilized their societies.


However, growth is not guaranteed. Societies stagnate when the creative minority becomes a dominant minority, relying on coercion instead of inspiration to maintain power.


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IV. The Breakdown of Civilizations

Breakdown begins when a civilization fails to resolve critical challenges. Toynbee identifies three stages in the collapse of civilizations:

1. Loss of Creativity: The ruling class becomes static, clinging to past successes instead of innovating. For example, the Roman Empire's reliance on its military and administrative legacy led to rigidity.


2. Internal Proletariat: As inequality grows, the masses (the internal proletariat) become disillusioned with the ruling elite. Discontent leads to social unrest or apathy.


3. External Proletariat: Simultaneously, external groups (e.g., barbarian tribes in Rome’s case) challenge the civilization’s borders, often adopting its culture while contributing to its decline.



Toynbee argues that breakdown is marked not only by political and economic turmoil but by spiritual disintegration. In declining societies, religion shifts from being a unifying force to a divisive one.


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V. Disintegration of Civilizations

The disintegration phase is the longest and most complex in Toynbee’s model. It involves the gradual collapse of societal structures and the rise of "Universal States" and "Universal Churches." These entities emerge as attempts to preserve order and continuity:

1. Universal States: In the late stages of a civilization, an empire often forms to unify fragmented societies (e.g., the Roman Empire). However, such states are short-lived because they rely on external dominance rather than internal creativity.


2. Universal Churches: As the political structure fails, religions or spiritual movements rise to offer hope and meaning. Christianity’s growth during the decline of Rome exemplifies this.



Toynbee notes that during disintegration, “warrior” cultures or militarized states may temporarily restore order but cannot reverse decline.


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VI. The Role of Religion

Religion is central to Toynbee’s analysis. He sees it as both a driver of growth and a refuge in decline. Civilizations often begin with a strong religious or spiritual ethos, which unites their people and provides a sense of purpose. Over time, religion may become institutionalized, losing its transformative power.

In declining civilizations, new religious movements arise to challenge the status quo. For instance:

The Protestant Reformation in Europe reinvigorated spiritual life during a period of societal stagnation.

The rise of Islam united disparate Arab tribes, creating a new civilization after the disintegration of Byzantium and Persia.


Toynbee concludes that the ultimate destiny of civilizations is spiritual rather than material, suggesting that their true legacy lies in their contributions to human progress and understanding.


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VII. Cyclic vs. Linear History

Toynbee rejects both Spengler’s cyclical determinism and the progressive linear view of history. While he acknowledges patterns in the rise and fall of civilizations, he emphasizes the uniqueness of each case. He proposes a spiraling model, where lessons from past civilizations can inform the future.


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VIII. Lessons from History

Toynbee’s study offers several practical insights:

1. Avoidance of Hubris: He warns against complacency and overconfidence, noting that civilizations often fall when they believe themselves invincible (e.g., the British Empire’s decline after overextending its resources).


2. Adaptability: Societies must embrace change and innovation to survive. This is as true for political systems as for cultural norms.


3. Spiritual Renewal: A civilization’s vitality depends on its moral and spiritual foundation. Toynbee argues that material progress alone cannot sustain a society.




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IX. Criticisms and Relevance

Toynbee’s work has been both celebrated and criticized. Detractors argue that his broad generalizations lack empirical rigor and that his spiritual focus reflects personal biases rather than objective analysis. Nevertheless, his comparative approach and focus on long-term patterns remain influential.

In modern contexts, Toynbee’s ideas resonate with discussions about the decline of Western dominance, environmental challenges, and globalization. His emphasis on adaptability and creativity provides valuable lessons for navigating contemporary crises.


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Conclusion

A Study of History is a sweeping and ambitious analysis of civilizations that emphasizes the importance of creativity, spiritual vitality, and adaptability. Toynbee's work challenges readers to see history not as a linear narrative but as a complex interplay of human responses to challenges. While his theories are not universally accepted, they offer a rich framework for understanding the rise and fall of societies and provide timeless insights into the human condition.
6
Can someone please tell me! Guns are illegal in NYC, how did the Italian Chad get a gun?!     (whatever)

submitted by MaryXmas to whatever 4 months ago

11 comments

10
Let your kid fail     (Fatherhood)

submitted by MaryXmas to Fatherhood 4 months ago

13 comments

Initially, this sounds like a good parenting method as it builds resilience and problem solving but I don't think this is good parenting, and I think it is very lazy. There is a whole book called anti-fragile that is a good read and I would recommend. I am not advocating for helicopter parenting or raising soft children, but after a certain point of struggle, they fail to learn the best way to tackle a problem. You need to let them struggle and then support with giving them chain of thought process in order to solve the problem.